Muna Chikunguru, nekuda kwekuenderera mberi kwekushisa kwemamiriro ekunze munzvimbo huru dzedonje muChina, kugadzirwa kwedonje kutsva kunotarisirwa kutsigira kuenderera kwemitengo yekotoni, uye mitengo yedonje yasvika pakakwirira gore negore, uye China Cotton Price Index. CCIndex3128B) yakwira kusvika pa18,070 yuan/ton.Madhipatimendi akakodzera akapa chiziviso chekuti kuitira kuti zvizadzise zvirinani zvinodiwa nedonje mabhizinesi emachira, iyo 2023 donje inotsvedza mutero inotsvedza ichapihwa, uye kutengeswa kweimwe central reserve donje kwakatanga mukupera kwaChikunguru.Pasi rose, nekuda kwekukanganisa kwemamiriro ekunze kwakadai sekupisa kwakanyanya uye kunaya kwemvura, kugadzirwa kwedonje kutsva kuchamhembe kweHemisphere kunotarisirwa kuwedzera, uye mitengo yekotoni yakakwira zvakanyanya, asi pasi pesimba rekutarisirwa kwekuderera kwehupfumi, kwave nekukatyamadza kukuru. uye kuwedzera kwacho kuduku kudarika kwepamba, uye musiyano pakati pemitengo yekotoni yepamba uye yekunze yakawedzera.
I. Kuchinja kwemitengo yenzvimbo kumba nekune dzimwe nyika
(1) Mutengo wepamba wedonje wakakwira kusvika padanho repamusoro regore
Muna Chikunguru, zvakakanganiswa nezvinhu zvakaita sekuwedzera kuri kutarisirwa mukudzikiswa kwekugadzira nekuda kwekupisa kwemamiriro ekunze mudunhu redonje uye tarisiro yekuwandisa, mitengo yedonje yemumba yakaramba yakasimba, uye remangwana reZheng donje rakaramba richikwira kukwidza mitengo yedonje. , iyo 24 yeChina yekotoni mutengo index yakakwira kusvika ku18,070 yuan/ton, hutsva hutsva kubvira gore rino.Mukati memwedzi, mutero wemutero uye chengetedzo yedonje rekutengesa mutemo zvakaziviswa, zvakanyanya zvinoenderana nemusika zvinotarisirwa, iyo yakanyanya kudiwa yedivi haina kusimba, uye mutengo wedonje une kururamisa kupfupi pakupera kwemwedzi.Musi wa31, China donje mutengo index (CCIndex3128B) 17,998 yuan/ton, kumusoro 694 yuan kubva mwedzi wapfuura;Paavhareji mutengo wepamwedzi waive 17,757 yuan/ton, uchikwira 477 yuan mwedzi-pa-mwedzi uye 1101 yuan gore-pagore.
(2) mitengo yekotoni yakareba-yakareba yakakwira mwedzi-pa-mwedzi
Muna Chikunguru, mutengo wedonje remumba wakakwira kubva pamwedzi wapfuura, uye mutengo wekutengesa we137-giredhi refu-staple donje pakupera kwemwedzi waive 24,500 yuan/ton, wakakwira 800 yuan kubva pamwedzi wapfuura, wakakwira. kupfuura China Cotton Price Index (CCIndex3128B) 6502 yuan, uye mutsauko wemutengo wakawedzerwa ne106 yuan kubva pakupera kwemwedzi wapfuura.Avhareji yepamwedzi mutengo wekutengesa we137-giredhi refu-staple donje i24,138 yuan/tani, kumusoro 638 yuan kubva pamwedzi wapfuura, uye pasi 23,887 yuan gore-pa-gore.
(3) Mitengo yedonje yepasi rose yakakwira patsva mumwedzi mitanhatu yapfuura
Muna July, mitengo yekotoni yepasi rose yakaramba iri muhupamhi hwe80-85 cents / pound.Kusagadzikana kwemamiriro ekunze kazhinji munyika dzakawanda dzinogadzira donje dziri kuchamhembe kweHemisphere, tarisiro yakawedzera yekugadzirwa kwegore negore, uye mitengo yemusika yeramangwana yakambomhanyira ku88.39 cents / pound, inenge hafu yegore yakakwirira.Chikunguru ICE donje huru kondirakiti pamwedzi avhareji yekugadziriswa mutengo we82.95 cents/paundi, mwedzi-pa-mwedzi (80.25 cents/paundi) kumusoro 2.71 masendi, kana 3.4%.China inotengwa kunze kwenyika mutengo wedonje FCIndexM avhareji yepamwedzi 94.53 cents/paundi, yakakwira 0.9 masendi kubva pamwedzi wapfuura;Pakupera kwe96.17 cents / pound, yakakwira 1.33 cents kubva pamwedzi wapfuura, mutero we1% wakaderedzwa ne16,958 yuan/ton, yaive yakaderera pane nzvimbo yepamba ye1,040 yuan panguva imwe cheteyo.Pakupera kwemwedzi, nekuda kwekutadza kwemitengo yedonje yepasi rose kuramba ichikwira, donje remumba rakachengeta kushanda kwakanyanya, uye musiyano pakati pemitengo yemukati neyekunze wakawedzera zvakare kusvika pa1,400 yuan.
(4) Maodha asina kukwana machira uye kutengesa kunotonhora
Muna Chikunguru, musika wemicheka kunze kwemwaka wakaenderera mberi, sezvo mitengo yekotoni yakakwira, makambani akasimudza makotesheni eshinda yekotoni, asi kugamuchirwa kwevagadziri vepasi hakuna kukwirira, kutengeswa kweshinda kuchiri kutonhora, kupedzwa kwechigadzirwa chekushandisa kunoramba kuchiwedzera.Pakupera kwemwedzi, machira epamba akagadziridzwa, uye mukana wekupora zvishoma.Kunyanya, mutengo wekutengeserana weshinda yakachena yedonje KC32S uye yakakamwa JC40S pakupera kwe24100 yuan/tani uye 27320 yuan/tani, kumusoro 170 yuan uye 245 yuan zvichiteerana kubva mukupera kwemwedzi wapfuura;Polyester staple fiber pakupera kwe7,450 yuan/ton, yakakwira 330 yuan kubva mukupera kwemwedzi wapera, viscose staple fiber pakupera kwe12,600 yuan/tani, pasi mazana matatu yuan kubva mukupera kwemwedzi wapfuura.
2. Kuongororwa kwezvinhu zvinokanganisa kuchinja kwemitengo kumba nekune dzimwe nyika
(1) Kupihwa kwedonje rekutengesa kunze kwenyika
Musi waChikunguru 20, National Development and Reform Commission yakapa chiziviso, kuitira kuchengetedza zvido zvedonje zvemabhizinesi emucheka, mushure mekutsvaga uye sarudzo, kuburitswa kwe2023 mutero wedonje wekotoni kunze kweiyo yakasarudzika mutero wekutengesa quota (inozonzi iyo "cotton import sliding tariff quota").Kuburitswa kwedonje isiri yenyika yekutengesa kunze kwenyika inotsvedza mutero we750,000 matani, pasina kudzikisira nzira yekutengeserana.
(2) Kutengeswa kwechikamu chepakati chedonje chinochengeterwa kucharongwa munguva pfupi iri kutevera
Musi waChikunguru 18, madhipatimendi akakodzera akapa chiziviso, maererano nezvinodiwa nemadhipatimendi ehurumende akakodzera, kuitira kuti zvizadzise zvirinani zvinodiwa nedonje remabhizinesi ekutenderera, iro richangoburwa sangano rekutengesa kweimwe central reserve donje.Nguva: Kutanga kubva pakupera kwaChikunguru 2023, zuva rekushanda riri pamutemo renyika imwe neimwe rakanyorwa kutengeswa;Nhamba yekutengesa yakanyorwa zuva nezuva inorongwa maererano nemamiriro emusika;Mutengo wepasi wekutengesa wakanyorwa unotemerwa zvinoenderana nekuchinja kwemusika, mumusimboti, wakabatana nemitengo yedonje yepamba uye yekunze, inoverengerwa nemusika wepamba pedonje mutengo index uye musika wepasi rose wedonje donje indekisi zvichienderana nehuremu hwe50% , uye kugadziridzwa kamwe pavhiki.
(3) Mamiriro ekunze asina kunaka anotarisirwa kutungamira mukupihwa kwakasimba kwedonje idzva
Muna Chikunguru, India neUnited States zvakateerana akatarisana nemamiriro ekunze akashata akadai sekunaya kwemvura zhinji uye kunoramba kuchipisa tembiricha uye kusanaya kwemvura muTexas, pakati peiyo United States donje munzvimbo yekudyara yekuderera kukuru, kusanaya kwemvura kwakabatana nedutu rinouya. mwaka unoita kuti matambudziko ekuderedza kugadzirwa arambe achiwedzera, achigadzira danho rekutsigira ICE donje.Munguva pfupi, musika wedonje wepamba uri kushushikanawo nekudzikiswa kwekugadzirwa nekuda kwekuenderera mberi tembiricha muXinjiang, uye kondirakiti huru yeZheng donje inodarika zviuru gumi nezvinomwe zvemayuan/ton, uye mutengo wenzvimbo unokwira nemutengo weramangwana.
(4) Machira anodiwa anoramba asina simba
Muna Chikunguru, musika wepasi pemvura wakaramba uchipera simba, vatengesi vedonje shinda yakavanzwa yakakura, grey jira rinobatanidza bhutsu rakaderera, mafekitori emucheka anongwarira nezvekutenga kwezvinhu, vazhinji vakamirira kuchengeterwa okisheni yedonje uye quota kuburitswa.Iyo inotenderera chinongedzo inotarisana nedambudziko rekurasikirwa uye kuseri kwezvigadzirwa zvakapedzwa, uye mutengo wekutapurirana weketani yeindasitiri wakavharwa.
Nguva yekutumira: Aug-15-2023
